About

Background

Macro strategist and financial analyst in the shipping industry. Co-founder and Director of Garrison Sterling, an independent defence economics firm, and Associate Researcher at the Global Climate Forum, Berlin, behind the balance-sheet models of the OBFA-TRANSFORM Project and the Monetary Architecture Online Tool. PhD in economics, SOAS University of London, on monetary subordination in the euro area, under Prof. Costas Lapavitsas; lecturer there to 2025; defence economist at the UKDSC, inside the Ministry of Defence ecosystem, to September 2026.

Interests and expertise

PhD-level macro-financial economist with expertise in sovereign risk, industrial strategy, geopolitical and defence economics, and eurozone monetary systems. Experience delivering applied economic analysis and strategic intelligence for governments and industry stakeholders, combining quantitative modelling, industrial analysis, and macro-financial research.

Built balance-sheet models, Input-Output models, sector productivity frameworks and industrial assessments used to inform policy and procurement discussions within the UK defence ecosystem. Co-founder of Garrison Sterling, a defence economics and intelligence firm linking firm-level defence money to macro-economic modelling, and author of Cargo & Collateral, a weekly publication on trade, freight and the credit beneath them. Published researcher with a track record in translating complex economic structures into decision-relevant analysis across policy, financial and strategic contexts.

  • Sovereign risk
  • Eurozone monetary systems
  • Industrial strategy
  • Geopolitical and defence economics
  • Trade, freight and credit
  • Balance-sheet modelling
  • Input-Output modelling
  • Sector productivity

Positions

  • Macro strategist and financial analyst, shipping industry2026–
  • Co-founder and Director, Garrison Sterling. Leads the modelling: economic-impact models and supplier-level metrics on the defence economy2026–
  • Associate Researcher, Global Climate Forum, Berlin. OBFA-TRANSFORM: balance-sheet modelling of the euro-area monetary architecture2023–
  • Senior Defence Economist, UKDSC, within the Ministry of Defence ecosystem. Input-Output and scenario models of the defence-industrial base; briefings to government and industry2025–2026
  • Lecturer in Economics, SOAS University of London2023–2025

Education

  • PhD, Economics, SOAS University of London. Monetary Subordination in the Eurozone, supervised by Prof. Costas Lapavitsas2020–2025
  • MSc, International Political Economy, LSE. Advisor: Prof. Jeffrey Chwieroth2019–2020
  • BSc, Economics (Hons), SOAS University of London. Undergraduate Prize in Economics2016–2019

Background

Methods. Balance-sheet mapping, stock-flow-consistent accounting, Input-Output, gravity models, VAR/SVAR, panel and time-series methods, scenario analysis. Applied to euro-area monetary policy and transmission, sovereign debt dynamics, fiscal-monetary interaction, financial fragmentation, shipping and trade finance, defence and war finance, trade and capital-flow regimes. R and Python; Excel; LaTeX.

Recognition. Research Associate funding, OBFA-Transformation project (Deutsche Forschungsgemeinschaft and GCF Berlin). Scholarship, Minsky Summer Seminar, Levy Economics Institute (2018). At SOAS: Outstanding Teaching Award (2024–25), Best Use of Technology Enhanced Learning (2023–24), nomination for Postgraduate Research Supervisor of the Year (2024–25).

Affiliations. Garrison Sterling · Global Climate Forum · SOAS University of London · UKDSC (to September 2026) · SPARCollective, founding member · EReNSEP · Young Scholars Initiative, INET.

Personal. Dual Italian-British national, based in Europe. Italian (native) · English (bilingual) · French (advanced) · Greek and Spanish (beginner).