About

Background

Macro-financial economist. Strategic finance and market intelligence advisor in the shipping industry. Co-founder and Director of Garrison Sterling, an independent defence economics firm, and Associate Researcher at the Global Climate Forum, Berlin, behind the balance-sheet models of the OBFA-TRANSFORM Project and the Monetary Architecture Online Tool. PhD in economics, SOAS University of London, on monetary subordination in the euro area, under Prof. Costas Lapavitsas; lecturer there to 2025; defence economist at the UKDSC, inside the Ministry of Defence ecosystem, to September 2026.

Interests and expertise

Macro-financial economist who reads real sectors through their balance sheets: currently shipping, trade and the credit beneath them; previously defence-industrial economics within the UK Ministry of Defence ecosystem. Current work is market intelligence and strategic finance for a shipping group: freight-market and corridor economics, the macro and credit conditions behind trade flows, and the financial scenarios built on them. Before that, the Input-Output, balance-sheet and scenario models behind UK defence industrial-capacity and procurement discussions.

Author of Cargo & Collateral, a weekly publication reading trade and freight through balance sheets: who owes what to whom, and funded how. PhD in macro-finance (SOAS) with peer-reviewed work on eurozone collateral, repo and payment systems; co-founder of Garrison Sterling, a defence economics and intelligence firm.

  • Freight and trade flows
  • Credit behind trade and freight
  • Sovereign risk
  • Eurozone monetary plumbing
  • Defence-industrial capacity
  • Geopolitical risk
  • Balance-sheet modelling
  • Input-Output modelling

Positions

  • Strategic finance and market intelligence advisor, shipping industry. Market and freight-rate modelling, macro and credit conditions behind trade flows, corridor-level sea-vs-road economics, modelling financial scenarios2026–
  • Co-founder and Director, Garrison Sterling. Leads the modelling: economic-impact models and supplier-level metrics on the defence economy2026–
  • Associate Researcher, Global Climate Forum, Berlin. OBFA-TRANSFORM: balance-sheet modelling of the euro-area monetary architecture2023–
  • Senior Defence Economist, UKDSC, within the Ministry of Defence ecosystem. Input-Output and scenario models of the defence-industrial base; briefings to government and industry2025–2026
  • Lecturer in Economics, SOAS University of London2023–2025

Education

  • PhD, Economics, SOAS University of London. Monetary Subordination in the Eurozone, supervised by Prof. Costas Lapavitsas2020–2025
  • MSc, International Political Economy, LSE. Advisor: Prof. Jeffrey Chwieroth2019–2020
  • BSc, Economics (Hons), SOAS University of London. Undergraduate Prize in Economics2016–2019

Background

Methods. Balance-sheet mapping, stock-flow-consistent accounting, Input-Output, gravity models, VAR/SVAR, panel and time-series methods, scenario analysis. Applied to euro-area monetary policy and transmission, sovereign debt dynamics, fiscal-monetary interaction, financial fragmentation, shipping and trade finance, defence and war finance, trade and capital-flow regimes. R and Python; Excel; LaTeX.

Recognition. Research Associate funding, OBFA-Transformation project (Deutsche Forschungsgemeinschaft and GCF Berlin). Scholarship, Minsky Summer Seminar, Levy Economics Institute (2018). At SOAS: Outstanding Teaching Award (2024–25), Best Use of Technology Enhanced Learning (2023–24), nomination for Postgraduate Research Supervisor of the Year (2024–25).

Affiliations. Garrison Sterling · Global Climate Forum · SOAS University of London · UKDSC (to September 2026) · SPARCollective, founding member · EReNSEP · Young Scholars Initiative, INET.

Personal. Dual Italian-British national, based in Europe. Italian (native) · English (bilingual) · French (advanced) · Greek and Spanish (beginner).