Advisory
Advisory
I am available for commissioned work in multiple forms, from short notes, to full reports, from models built to be interrogated, to datasets and data platforms. Usually, I work with shipping companies, ship-finance lenders and marine insurers; banks, asset managers and credit funds; central banks and public institutions. The method is the same for all of them, prioritising balance sheet analysis and the monetary architecture lens.
Areas
Shipping and trade finance
Freight exposure is working-capital exposure. Chartering and freight-rate risk, tonne-mile and throughput demand, forwarder and carrier working capital, trade finance structures, and the capital stack behind a fleet, including Greek and Mediterranean maritime economics. Written up in Cargo & Collateral.
Sovereign credit and monetary structure
Read at the level of the mechanism, not the spread. Sovereign risk and debt management, monetary transmission, collateral and repo, fragmentation and the settlement plumbing beneath it. Where the view comes from: the eurozone, subordination, macro-structure and DMOs.
Balance-sheet modelling
For questions that need a structure rather than a forecast. Bespoke modelling of a monetary architecture, a sector or a firm as interlocking balance sheets, built to be interrogated rather than believed. Method: balance-sheet modelling.
Ways to engage
- Expert calls. A single conversation on a specific question.
- Commissioned notes and models. A defined question, a defined deliverable, a fixed deadline.
- Data and platforms. Datasets built from public records and filings, and the tools to work with them.
- Speaking and workshops. Talks, seminars and closed-door briefings.
Anything where the exposure is defence, whether defence-industrial, rearmament, or macro-financial work on the defence economy, goes through Garrison Sterling. Shipping, sovereign and monetary work would be taken here, in a personal capacity.
To discuss a brief, write to me. Background: About and Publications.
All engagements are undertaken in a personal capacity and are independent of any employer, past or present, and of Garrison Sterling. Nothing produced under them is investment advice. See the disclaimer.